
Ellis Unger, chief of the drug-evaluation division that includes Dr. Marciniak, called the complaints a “diversion,” and said in an interview, “We have no reason to tell the public anything new.”
ARBs on the market in the U.S. include Novartis AG’s Diovan, Daiichi Sankyo Co.’s Benicar, Merck & Co.’s Cozaar, Boehringer Ingelheim GmbH’s Micardis; Avapro, from Sanofi SA and Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.; and AstraZeneca PLC’s Atacand. Patients take these medicines daily to avoid heart attack, stroke and heart failure.
In a 2010 study published in Lancet Oncology, Ilke Sipahi and colleagues at University Hospitals in Cleveland looked at five studies involving 68,402 patients and found that people taking ARBs had an 11 percent greater risk of new cancer overall and a 25 percent greater risk of new lung cancer, compared with patients who didn’t get the drugs.
But within a year, the FDA gave the all-clear signal, saying its own analysis found “no increase in risk” from taking ARBs. Europe’s drug regulator also dismissed the cancer concerns.
Dr. Marciniak wasn’t persuaded. In its analysis, the FDA combined different studies to look at more patients, multiplying its statistical power to find possible side effects from the drugs, a technique called meta-analysis. If the original studies have flaws, however, meta-analyses can simply compound the problem, researchers say.
That is what happened to the FDA, says Dr. Marciniak, who warned others in the agency that taking results tabulated by companies was likely to produce unreliable results: “Garbage in, garbage out,” he wrote.
Among other things, Dr. Marciniak said in an internal analysis viewed by the Journal that the FDA meta-analysis didn’t count cases of “lung carcinomas” as lung cancers, which they are.